For the whole Shane Victorino topic....It would be a long-shot for him getting in, I'll tell you that much. He needs improvement to become HOF Caliber but he has plenty of time ahead of him to turn the likeliness into his favor.
Who do I think will get in?
Ryan Howard- This guy's a monster at the plate. Though his average is lacking, if he plays for a long time, his stats will add up. If he plays for 15 years, and keeps going at the rate he's going, he'll hit over 650 HRs, and knock in almost 1900 RBIs. Over his career, he's been staying around 50 HRs each season, and that's very impressive, though over time, him Home Run seasonal totals will drop to 45 and 40 each season, but he'll still stay around the general area of the upper 600s. That is VERY impressive over a 15 year span. VERY Amazing stuff. Still, I think this guy has the credentials, but its all up to how the voters think of him.
Jamie Moyer- Now Moyer is a longshot, but is still a somewhat good choice, though I doubt he'll get in anytime near the 1st ballot. The guy's still pitching well at Age 45 (Now 46) and will be pitching for Philadelphia through 47. That brings in some time to increase his totals a bit more. His ERA is high for major liking, 4.19, but Moyer definitely has 2 more years left, and could bring it down to the high 3s. He's got a good 2250 Ks, which could go as high as 2500 when he retires, which is pretty decent. He is also 60 games above 500 (246-185), which is excellent. He managed to go 16-7, the best of the Phillies squad. Lets say he goes 16-7 over the next 2 years, and retires. That would make him 278-199, for an all-time record of .583, which continues his impressive totals. Even though Moyer isn't the candidate you would think of immediately for a ticket to the Hall of Fame, I think he'll get it, even if it takes 15 ballots.
2008 World Series- Phillies over Rays- RESULT: CORRECT
2009 World Series- Phillies over Yankees- RESULT: PENDING