Reply

 

Old 03-21-2008, 02:59 PM   #1 (permalink)
Kitty
Pure Greatness
 
Kitty's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 2,379
Kitty is on a distinguished road
Default ESPN: Expect Yanks To Get 90 Wins

Quote:
A YIP is a pitcher who has spent no more than one season (partial or full) in the majors, has started fewer than 15 games and whose seasonal age (as of July 1) in the current year is 24 or younger.




While these teams don't finish high in the standings, there's no clear performance difference from having lots of starts from young, inexperienced pitchers.



The slope of the line is close to zero, meaning a team's winning percentage has little to do with the number of YIP starts. Clubs win with YIPs, and clubs lose with YIPs regardless of the number of YIP starts.
Quote:
This distribution makes sense because many of these teams turned to YIPs during rebuilding seasons. That's why the 2008 Yankees can be an exception. They're hardly starting over after making the AL playoffs for the 13th consecutive season.

The four first-place teams -- the 1961 Yankees, the '70 Twins, the '76 Reds and the 2003 Giants -- all went to the playoffs the year before, and each bolstered their staffs with good, young pitchers. Many consider the '61 Yankees and '76 Reds to be among the greatest teams of all time.

The '08 Yankees offer parallels with those two clubs: High-powered offense, rotation anchored by two veterans. This year's Yankees appear capable of having a top-three offense, and Chien-Ming Wang and Andy Pettitte are the experienced arms at the top.

Both conditions should benefit the YIPs. That is why [Ian] Kennedy, [Phil] Hughes and [Joba] Chamberlain can be the exception to the rule this season. With their depth, Yankees can afford to let their big three develop. They only need to be good in 2008. There's time for greatness later.
ESPN.com - Blogs - Rob Neyer Blog
__________________
Everyone is entitled to be stupid, but some abuse the privilege.

Kitty is offline View My Blog!   Reply With Quote
Reply




Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


VerticalSports
Baseball Forum Golf Forum Boxing Forum Snowmobile Forum
Basketball Forum Soccer Forum MMA Forum PWC Forum
Football Forum Cricket Forum Wrestling Forum ATV Forum
Hockey Forum Vollyball Forum Paintball Forum Snowboarding Forum
Tennis Forum Rugby Forums Lacrosse Forum Skiing Forums
Copyright (C) Verticalscope Inc LinkBacks Enabled by vBSEO 3.0.0 RC8
vBCredits v1.4 Copyright ©2007, PixelFX Studios