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11-24-2007, 02:31 PM
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#1 (permalink)
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Pure Greatness
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 2,559
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Joba Not A Lock To Start Next Season
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Those who have seen him start strongly believe Joba Chamberlain can evolve into Josh Beckett and insist his greatest value to the Yankees is working every fifth day as a No. 1 stud. Others, who only witnessed Chamberlain bounce out of the bullpen and finally build a sturdy bridge to Mariano Rivera last season, believe the Yankees are nuts to delete Chamberlain from the bullpen.
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And the Yankees? A month ago, before Joe Girardi replaced Joe Torre and Dave Eiland took over for Ron Guidry, Hank Steinbrenner said Chamberlain would be in the rotation and that's the way the organization is tilting, but . . . “It's not 100 percent but I think we are leaning that way,'' Eiland said yesterday about using Chamberlain as a starter. “We haven't had long discussions on that part of it yet. I am sure we will in the near future. We are leaning that way and that's where we would like to see him.''
With a little under three months until pitchers and catchers report to Tampa, the Yankees have time to alter a staff that needs a bona fide No. 1 starter. If Andy Pettitte comes back or Johan Santana or Erik Bedard is acquired, somebody from the group of Chien-Ming Wang, Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy, Mike Mussina and Chamberlain is going to get bumped. Kennedy, with three major league starts, could be sent to the minors, but what would be so terrible about using Chamberlain to set up Rivera? After going 2-0 with a 0.38 ERA in 19 big league relief appearances in which he fanned 34 and gave up 12 hits in 24 innings, the Yankees know his high-octane fastball and filthy slider can handle the late-inning role.
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11-26-2007, 11:04 AM
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#2 (permalink)
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-LIFETIME MEMBER-
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Des Moines, IA
Posts: 506
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I hope they stick to the plan and don't ruin his arm by overworking it out of the pen. They need to designate someone to eventually take over for Mo, specifically Ross Ohlendorf or Edwar Ramirez.
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12-02-2007, 04:33 PM
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#3 (permalink)
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Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 26
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Originally Posted by nyjyrk
I hope they stick to the plan and don't ruin his arm by overworking it out of the pen. They need to designate someone to eventually take over for Mo, specifically Ross Ohlendorf or Edwar Ramirez.
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With all due respect, just thinking about the idea of Edwar Ramirez taking over for Mo is going to give me a panic attack. Edwar's a gimmick middle innings guy who will only be effective until big league hitters get more tape on him and figure out his changeup.
I think that Joba should be put in the bullpen for a couple of reasons. 75 games is more valuable than 30 games (less actually because Joba will be capped at 150 innings next year.) The Yankees have a definite need in the bullpen and Joba's shown that he can fill it--the value of a dominant setup man (and dominating closer, a role that I hope Chamberlain will eventually fill) is wildly underrated. To prove that, check out the digging that Nick Kendall at Bugs & Cranks did on Cincinatti last year:
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Your starting pitcher has just given you six quality innings and your team either has the lead or is tied heading into the seventh. How often do you expect your bullpen to pull out a victory? If you are the 2007 Boston Red Sox, you’ll win 90% of the time. If you are the Cincinnati Reds, it’s only 67% of the time. Here is the kicker. Boston was ahead or tied after 6 innings 95 times in 2007. Cincinnati was in the same boat 94 times. The difference in success and mediocrity came down to the bullpen.
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But even past that, I'm not convinced that Joba will be as dominating a starter as he was a reliever. He's shown that he has a great four seam fastball and a plus slider, but that's pretty much it. You need more than two good pitches to be a #1 starter, even if they are great pitches.
Either way Joba will be an incredibly valuable part of the Yankees staff next season, but I definitely believe that he is more valuable to them out of the pen.
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12-13-2007, 10:13 AM
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#4 (permalink)
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Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 9
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Originally Posted by Outlaw43
With all due respect, just thinking about the idea of Edwar Ramirez taking over for Mo is going to give me a panic attack. Edwar's a gimmick middle innings guy who will only be effective until big league hitters get more tape on him and figure out his changeup.
I think that Joba should be put in the bullpen for a couple of reasons. 75 games is more valuable than 30 games (less actually because Joba will be capped at 150 innings next year.) The Yankees have a definite need in the bullpen and Joba's shown that he can fill it--the value of a dominant setup man (and dominating closer, a role that I hope Chamberlain will eventually fill) is wildly underrated. To prove that, check out the digging that Nick Kendall at Bugs & Cranks did on Cincinatti last year:
But even past that, I'm not convinced that Joba will be as dominating a starter as he was a reliever. He's shown that he has a great four seam fastball and a plus slider, but that's pretty much it. You need more than two good pitches to be a #1 starter, even if they are great pitches.
Either way Joba will be an incredibly valuable part of the Yankees staff next season, but I definitely believe that he is more valuable to them out of the pen.
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Yes he only showed two pitches last year because that is what you do out of the bullpen. How many relievers do you know that throw four pitches. According to scouting he has 3 plus major league pitches i.e. curve, fastball, slider, and his changeup is league average and still in developmental stages. However, this will be a controversy that will never be resolved until he is put in either role long term and succeeds for the simple fact that there are those who say what good is a closer if you can't get to him with your starters, and others that say what good is a starter if you can't finish the games. So like you said, he will most definately be a valueble piece in the Yankee cog no matter the time of game he pitches, it's just impossible to positively determine where he is more valuable. What a problem to have 
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12-13-2007, 03:27 PM
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#5 (permalink)
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Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: new england
Posts: 19
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For the future who knows, but for now I think the Yankees should not be starting Chamberlain. Who's going to serve as the set up guy now? Kyle Farnsworth? Nice...
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12-13-2007, 03:32 PM
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#6 (permalink)
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Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 9
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So you take our 2-3 starter and make him a setup man next year? Where's the logic in that. We just got LaTroy Hawkins and still have promising youth in the minor league system; not to say that they'll be as dependable, but I think he's better off getting his feet wet starting this year than next.
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12-13-2007, 03:34 PM
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#7 (permalink)
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Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: new england
Posts: 19
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Chamberlain COULD BE a 2-3 starter by next year (and later on an ace), but I don't think you can count on that. Hawkins isn't that great a pitcher.
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12-13-2007, 03:37 PM
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#8 (permalink)
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Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 9
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I agree he's not that great of a pitch but do you really want to have what you stated as a POTENTIAL (i agree he still has a lot to prove) ace back and forth from bullpen to starting or would you rather let him get into a grove as a starter. I just think you need to pick one or the other, not one now and the other later. Also while it's true Hawkins isn't that great, he still had a better year than Vizcaino in Coors Field, so he's not that bad either.
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12-13-2007, 03:42 PM
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#9 (permalink)
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Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: new england
Posts: 19
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Yeah, spending the bulk of his time facing the offense-starved teams of the NL West.
As for Chamberlain i'm not saying move him back and forth throughout his career. I say the Yankees should still keep him in their bullpen, because he was a pretty dominant set-up man last season. The Yankees are getting a little old and their window to win (providing they don't go out and splurge on more free agents) is getting short. Just keep Chamberlain in the role he's proven he can handle. For now.
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12-13-2007, 03:51 PM
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#10 (permalink)
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Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 9
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I don't understand what you're saying. In one breath you state "I say the Yankees should still keep him in their bullpen, because he was pretty dominant as a set-up man last season" but then you end the statement you say "Just keep Chamberlai in the role he's proven he can handle. FOR NOW." That's insinuating that you would still juggle him. Also I don't understand what you mean by their window is closing seeing as how they have a YOUTH movement. Hanging onto promising young players that are not only prospects but are proving that they can succeed at this level. I.e. Cano, Melky (albeit not in the same level of player but solid nonetheless), Hughes, Joba, Kennedy. Oh and we still have the greatest closer for 3 more years (yet to be determined his level of play over those years), and the best player in the game for 10. Lest we forget Giambi is gone after next year so freed up salary and a younger player still, and we have a prospect over 10 years younger than Abreau waiting to take over within two years or so. So I don't understand this closing window you speak of.
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