Don't forget - all of these projections assume at least 400+ at-bats.
Let me address your points that I disagree with:
1) John-Ford Griffin. What makes you doubt that he could produce 17 homers in over 400 at-bats. You could challenge his likeliness to get the playing time (that I'd probably agree with). However, he's shown good pop throughout his minor league career and has, in very limited major league time, 2 home runs in 23 at-bats.
2) Jones had the first bad season of his career last year. He's only thirty and he still hit 26 home runs last year. Plus, he was working with a bad shoulder for much of the year - personally, I'm going to give him the benefit of the doubt. I think the numbers given to him here are totally reasonable, perhaps with the RBI numbers being a bit of a stretch.
3) I don't understand why you can't see Kent having a downturn at 39, yet see Jones as dead and buried at 30. True, he hasn't seen much of a decline yet - however, he is at the age where you must expect it. I'm hoping he'll continue to rake, and I do see his numbers falling more in line between these projections and last year's numbers... but I do expect a decline.
4) Why are you so down on Andy LaRoche? He showed excellent patience and a solid glove in his cup of coffee last season - these projections are actually understating his patience, in my opinion. In AAA last season he hit .315/.402/.600 with 19 home runs in only 270 at-bats. He also looked quite good in the Winter League with a line of .333/.368/.556. I think a line of .256/.343/.431 is perfectly reasonable - the only thing I may cast a bit of doubt on is the SLG, as he hasn't consistently produced a ton of power.
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